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September 29, 2006
choosing to live in fear
New laws are limiting very old protections that individuals have had: not to be held indefinitely without trial or access to a lawyer, no warrantless searches, no torture, the right to a fair trial. Where is the crisis that justifies these changes? Even if terrorists attack again and again and kill thousands more, which they surely will, they cannot threaten the existence of any Western country. This is not World War II. No matter how fervent, they are small groups of desperate people that can be hunted down and killed, not entire states (crazy as they are, Iran and North Korea would cut deals with the US under the right conditions). Why are people acting as though these terrorists have such huge power? Why are they willingly giving away the rights and protections that everyone says is the good part of the West? Why are people choosing to live in fear instead of calling bullshit?
April 14, 2006
Yahoo! and China

I work at Yahoo!, but I have a small role and no influence on or knowledge of corporate decisions or policies about China, or any contact (beyond a couple of meetings of fellow employees at a conference) with Yahoo!'s Chinese business partners. This post is personal opinion only.

The way that Yahoo! has handled the jailing of four Chinese dissidents (based on personal information handed over by Yahoo! to the Chinese government) has so far been to say that it is powerless to change the political reality and laws in China, and this is surely true. In hearings about the issue at the U.S. Congress, Yahoo! has focused on sort of asking the U.S. government to pass laws (like the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, as Bill Gates pointed out) that would give companies like Yahoo! guidance on what business practices were acceptable in countries outside the U.S. (so that, presumably, it would have some cover in negotiations with the Chinese government over its practices in China).

It's clear from the legalistic language that Yahoo!'s public representatives use that the company is in a real bind: if they withhold information from the Chinese government, they are likely to lose the ability to do business in China and inflict major damage on their business. People in China are better off overall if companies like Yahoo! are investing there; they get jobs, investment in other supporting local businesses, and a lot of knowledge transfer from American experts (every Chinese citizen I've talked to believes that U.S. companies should stay in China, though of course the people I've talked with have been mostly the beneficiaries of investment). But that benefit doesn't excuse any actions that contribute to putting political prisoners in jail; that goes beyond being a business decision. Yahoo! can't change its public position without consequences from the arbitrary Chinese government, but groups like Reporters Without Borders will continue to effectively publicize the consequences of Yahoo!'s compliance with Chinese law. For the people who have to make these difficult decisions, it is surely a no-win situation.

I believe that there should immediately be some quiet modification of the way that U.S. companies gather personal information on their Chinese sites (that is, gather as little as possible and keep almost nothing), without waiting for U.S. laws to be passed (from what I can tell, there will be bills introduced that U.S. companies will have to follow like the FCPA, most likely next year). Despite all the equivocating, the enabling of Chinese repression can't continue and will change, if without publicity (companies and governments don't like to make difficult decisions publicly unless they have to). But with no company willing to be a leader on the issue, improvement will be hard to come by and will take longer and will be more complex than anyone will be happy with.

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January 26, 2004
Making Mistakes
David Kay (the director of the U.S.-sponsored search for weapons of mass destruction [W.M.D.] in Iraq) has now stated clearly what has been apparent for some time: there were not in fact W.M.D. in the hands of the Iraqi government before the U.S. went to war in 2003. In the U.S. unfortunately, stating this simple fact is not simple at all: it is not based on a complete search yet, or it shows that Bush lied, or it isn't the real issue, or it is tantamount to appeasing a murderous dictator, etc. Aside from the hyperbole, though, it is in fact actually, genuinely true that the absence of W.M.D. means that the rationale for the war was wrong. It was a mistake, and mistakes will happen even when everyone is very smart and starts out with good intentions. It is only a tragedy if it is not learned from, yet the cultural dynamics of politics in the U.S. will make it almost impossible to gain something from this misjudgment. Invading Iraq was predicated on preventing terrorism, either directly (through stopping the proliferation of W.M.D.) or indirectly (by developing a strong, friendly presence in the region). The invasion has not accomplished either of those aims: there are no W.M.D. to find, and the establishment of a friendly presence in Iraq has been an uneasy, rocky project. As one senior member of the Coalition Provisional Authority said, "I'd be happy if we just got out of here without them hating us." For now, as president Bush has noted, Iraq has become a "dangerous place" that attracts "terrorists and members of al Qaeda." In _The Fog of War_ Robert McNamara, the former Secretary of Defense for presidents Kennedy and Johnson, says that the stakes of modern nuclear conflict are impossibly high: if a mistake is made, "nations are destroyed." He was not speaking of terrorism, but he may well have been. The costs for not preventling terrorism, for not accomplishing the Iraq war's aims, could be very high, yet the public discussion of the war is driven by partisan ideology completely. Those who question the war's justification are said to be not "supporting the troops"; while those who support the war are said to be "liars" and "traitors." When the stakes are so high, it should be possible to learn from experience, change one's mind, or alter the approach, then figure out the best way to protect people in the U.S. If not, we are all in a lot of trouble.
November 15, 2003
Race you to the bottom
The difficult political problems that the U.S. faces are unlike any in recent history. Yet the response to these problems has been not new approaches, but reliance on familiar ideologies. This has had the effect of cutting political discourse off from the real world and making it more and more partisan. To take one example, the response by the left and right to the threat of Islamic-fundamentalist terrorism against the West: • The right (and the current administration) has tried to solve the problem by treating the threat as if it were the geopolitics of the cold war; the projection of American power and culture as the answer. But this has only made more real the claims of the terrorists, that the U.S. is an imperialist bully. Bizzarely, it is claimed that our war on Iraq protects our freedom, but no military victory is possible against a culture of terror. [11/20: George Will himself provides a example of this thinking in a speech to the Manhattan Institute (as reported by Mickey Kaus); "In the Q & A session following his talk, he said his solution [to the threat of terrorists possessing weapons of mass distruction] was to restore the traditional monopoly of sovereign nations over the means of violence, and then to respect those sovereign nations."] • The left, uncomfortable with the application of power, has come up empty, besides vague hopes of addressing root causes of terror. It seems to believe that principled opposition is enough, and has no plan that will ensure the security of Americans. The left is certainly very well meaning and would be unlikely to make the mistakes of the current administration, but it presents no alternative plan for addressing the treacherous situations that the U.S. alone faces. Reading the newspapers and watching the TV, partisans for either side ignore either the failure of the Iraq war to make us safer (and call any such claim 'treason') or the emptiness of Democratic politics, which seems to boil down to hoping that things go badly in Iraq and in the U.S. economy, then complaining about it (that, and calling the president a 'terrorist'). The rhetoric on both sides has become so strident because it no longer needs to be connected to facts or solutions, only to perceived tactical advantage. Partisans can yell and scream and call each other liars, because pretty much everything that is said is not going to solve any actual problems anyway. Technorati Tags: